Thursday Night Football brings a lopsided setup: the Ravens will start rookie Joe Fagnano — their third quarterback of the season — against a Jaguars team that suddenly looks like one of the week's safest plays. Yahoo Sports notes Jacksonville will be facing Baltimore's third passer of the year, a situation almost no one had on their midseason bingo card.

The betting market has responded accordingly. CBS Sports' preview frames Jacksonville as a heavy road favorite, and Deadspin's prediction piece lays out the case for the Jaguars covering: Jacksonville's defense should make life difficult for the rookie Fagnano, while Trevor Lawrence gets a favorable matchup against a struggling Baltimore defense.

The props market is busy too — CBS Sports published same-game parlay picks for the matchup generated by SportsLine's machine-learning model, along with best bets built around the quarterback mismatch.

For Baltimore, the night is less about the spread than survival: get competent quarterback play, keep the game close, and buy time until the depth chart stabilizes. For Jacksonville, it's the kind of short-week gift good teams are supposed to cash in.